Publications

These publications arise from and cite the HELIX grant number of European Funding 603864

2017

Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R.M., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Manning, A.C., Korsbakken, J.I., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J.G., Jackson, R.B., Boden, T.A., Tans, P.P., Andrews, OD., Arora, V.K., Bakker, D.C.E., Barbero, L., Becker, M., Betts, R.A., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L.P., Ciais, P., Cosca, C.E., Cross, J., Currie, K., Gasser, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Haverd, V., Houghton, R.A., Hunt, C.W., Hurtt, G., Ilyina, T., Jain, A.K., Kato, E., Kautz, M., Keeling, R.F., Klein Goldewijk, K., Körtzinger, A., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lima, I., Lombardozzi, D., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Monteiro, P.M.S., Munro, D.R., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Nojiri, Y., Padín, X.A., Peregon, A., Pfeil, B., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Reimer, J., Rödenbeck, C., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Stocker, B.D., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I.T., van der Werf, G.R., van Heuven, S., Viovy, N., Vuichard, N., Walker, A.P., Watson, A.J., Wiltshire, A.J., Zaehle, S., and Zhu, D.: Global Carbon Budget 2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2017-123, in review, 2017

 

Mohammed, Khaled, A. K. M. S. Islam, G. M. T. Islam, L. Alfieri, S. K. Bala, J. U. Khan (2017) “Impact of High-End Climate Change on Floods and Low Flows of the Brahmaputra River” Journal of Hydrologic Engineering (ASCE) Volume 22, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001567

Hasan, M.A., Islam, A.K.M.S. & Akanda, A.S. (2017) “Climate projections and extremes in dynamically downscaled CMIP5 model outputs over the Bengal delta: a quartile based bias-correction approach with new gridded data” Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4006-1

 

D.B. Jones, S. Harrison, K. Anderson, H.L. Selley, J.L. Wood, R.A. Betts (2017) “The distribution and hydrological significance of rock glaciers in the Nepalese Himalaya” Global and Planetary Change, Volume 160, 2018, Pages 123-142, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.11.005

 

Min Chen, Rashid Rafique, Ghassem R Asrar, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Philippe Ciais, Fang Zhao, Christopher P O Reyer, Sebastian Ostberg, Jinfeng Chang, Akihiko Ito, Jia Yang, Ning Zeng, Eugenia Kalnay, Tristram West, Guoyong Leng, Louis Francois, Guy Munhoven, Alexandra Henrot, Hanqin Tian, Shufen Pan, Kazuya Nishina, Nicolas Viovy, Catherine Morfopoulos, Richard Betts, Sibyll Schaphoff, Jörg Steinkamp and Thomas Hickler (2017) “Regional contribution to variability and trends of global gross primary productivity” Environmental research Letters Vol. 12 (10)doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978

 

Chang, J.,Ciais, P., Viovy N., Soussana, J.-F., Klumpp, K., and Sultan, B., (2017) “Future productivity and phenology changes in European grasslands for different warming levels: implications for grassland management and carbon balance” Carbon Balance and Management, 12 doi: 10.1186/s13021-017-0079-8

 

A.G.Koutroulis, L.V.Papadimitriou, M.G.Grillakis, I.K.Tsanis, K.Wyser, R.A.Betts (2017) “Freshwater vulnerability under high end climate change. A pan-European assessment” https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.074

Papadimitriou, L. V., Koutroulis, A. G., Grillakis, M. G., and Tsanis, I. K. (2017) “The effect of GCM biases on global runoff simulations of a land surface model” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 21, 4379-4401, doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4379-2017

 

Fahad, Md. G. R., Saiful Islam, A. K. M., Nazari, R., Alfi Hasan, M., Tarekul Islam, G. M. and Bala, S. K. (2017), “Regional changes of precipitation and temperature over Bangladesh using bias-corrected multi-model ensemble projections considering high-emission pathways” Int. J. Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.5284

 

Grillakis, M. G., Koutroulis, A. G., Daliakopoulos, I. N., and Tsanis, I. K. (2017) “A method to preserve trends in quantile mapping bias correction of climate modeled temperature” Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 889-900, doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-889-2017. Supplement https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-889-2017-supplement

 

Frieler, Katja, R. A. Betts, E. Burke, P. Ciais, S. Denvil, D. Deryng, K. Ebi, T. Eddy, K. Emanuel, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S. N. Gosling, K. Halladay, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, V. Huber, C. Jones, V. Krysanova, S. Lange, H. K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, M. Mengel, I. Mouratiadou, H. Müller Schmied, S. Ostberg, F. Piontek, A. Popp, C. P. O. Reyer, J. Schewe, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, D. P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, L. Warszawski1, F. Zhao (2017) “Assessing the impacts of 1.5  °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project” Geoscientific Model Development doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2016-229

 

Challinor, Andrew, N. Adger, T. Benton (2017) “Climate risks across borders and scales” Nature Climate Change Volume 7, pages 621–623, doi:10.1038/nclimate3380

 

A. K. M. Saiful Islam, Supria Paul, Khaled Mohammed, Mutasim Billah, Md. Golam Rabbani Fahad, Md. Alfi Hasan, G. M. Tarekul Islam, Sujit Kumar Bala (2017) “Hydrological response to climate change of the Brahmaputra basin using CMIP5 general circulation model ensemble”
 
Ostberg, S., Schewe, J., Childers, K., and Frieler, K. “Changes in crop yields and their variability at different levels of global warming” Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., doi.org/10.5194/esd-2017-69, in review, 2017
Monioudi, I. N., Velegrakis, A. F., Chatzipavlis, A. E., Rigos, A., Karambas, T., Vousdoukas, M. I., Hasiotis, T., Koukourouvli, N., Peduzzi, P., Manoutsoglou, E., Poulos, S. E., and Collins, M. B. (2017) “Assessment of island beach erosion due to sea level rise: the case of the Aegean archipelago (Eastern Mediterranean)”  Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 449-466, doi.10.5194/nhess-17-449-2017

 

Mohammed, Khaled, A.K.M. Saiful Islam,  M. Tarekul Islam, G & Alfieri, Lorenzo, Kumar Bala, Sujit, Khan, Md Jamal Uddin. (2017) “Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 °C global warming scenarios” Climatic Change doi 10.1007/s10584-017-2073-2.

 

Lenton, Timothy M., V. Dakos, S. Bathiany, M Scheffer (2017) “Observed trends in the magnitude and persistence of monthly temperature variability” Nature doi:10.1038/s41598-017-06382-x

 

Williamson, Mark S., M. Collins, S. S. Drijfhout, R. Kahana, J. V. Mecking, T. M. Lenton (2017) “Effect of AMOC collapse on ENSO in a high resolution general circulation model “Climate Dynamics doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3756-0

Frieler, Katja; Schauberger, Bernhard; Arneth, Almut; Balkovič, Juraj ; Chryssanthacopoulos, James; Deryng, Delphine; Elliott, Joshua; Folberth, Christian; Khabarov, Nikolay; Müller, Christoph; Olin, Stefan; A. M. Pugh, Thomas; Schaphoff, Sibyll; Schewe, Jacob; Schmid, Erwin; Warszawski, Lila; Levermann, Anders (2017) “Understanding the weather signal in national crop‐yield variability” Earth’s Future doi:10.1002/2016ef000525

Alfieri, L., B. Bisselink, F. Dottori, G. Naumann, A. de Roo, P. Salamon, K. Wyser, L. Feyen (2017) “Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world” Earth’s Future doi: 10.1002/2016EF000485

 

Vousdoukas M. I., L. Mentaschi, E. Voukouvalas, M. Verlaan, L. Feyen (2017) “Extreme sea levels on the rise along Europe’s coasts” Earth’s Future Volume 5, Issue 3 doi: 10.1002/2016EF000505

 

Williams, K., J. Gornall, A. Harper, A. Wiltshire, D. Hemming, T. Quaife, T. Arkebauer, D. Scoby (2017) “Evaluation of JULES-crop performance against site observations of irrigated maize from Mead, Nebraska” Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 1291-1320, 2017. doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1291-2017

 

Chang, J., P. Ciais, X. Wang, S. Piao, G. Asrar, R. Betts, F. Chevallier, M. Dury, L. François, K. Frieler, A. García Cantú Ros, AJ Henrot, T. Hickler, A. Ito, C. Morfopoulos, G. Munhoven, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, S. Pan, S. Peng, R. Rafique, C. Reyer, C. Rödenbeck, S. Schaphoff, J. Steinkamp, H. Tian, N. Viovy, J. Yang, N. Zeng, F. Zhao (2017) “Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models” Special Issue Article in Environmental Research Letters. Environmental Research Letters, Volume 12, Number 4

 

Ito, Akihiko; Nishina, Kazuya;  Reyer, Christopher & François, Louis & Henrot, Alexandra-Jane & Munhoven, Guy & Jacquemin, Ingrid & Tian, Hanqin & Yang, Jia & Pan, Shufen & Morfopoulos, Catherine & Betts, Richard & Hickler, Thomas & Steinkamp, Jörg & Ostberg, Sebastian & Schaphoff, Sibyll & Ciais, Philippe & Chang, Jinfeng & Rafique, Rashid & Zhao, Fang. (2017) “Photosynthetic productivity and its efficiencies in ISIMIP2a biome models: Benchmarking for impact assessment studies” Environmental Research Letters. 12 doi:085001. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a19

 

Zhao, F., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Frieler, K., Schewe, J., Ostberg, S., Willner, S., … Yamasaki, D. (2017) “The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models” Environmental Research Letters, 12, 1-15. [075003]. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7250

 

Bernhard Schauberger, Sotirios Archontoulis, Almut Arnet., Juraj Balkovic, Philippe Ciais, Delphine Deryng, Joshua Elliott, Christian Folberth, Nikolay Khabarov, Christoph Mülle., Thomas A. M. Pugh, Susanne Kolinsky, Sibyll Schaphoff, Erwin Schmid, Xuhui Wang, Wolfram Schlenker, Katja Frieler (2017) “Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models” Nature Communications 8, Article number: 13931 doi:10.1038/ncomms13931

 

2016

Alfieri, L., L. Feyen and G. Di Baldassarre (2016). “Increasing flood risk under climate change: a pan-European assessment of the benefits of four adaptation strategies.” Climatic Change 136(3-4): 507-521. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1641-1

 

Anthoff, D., F. Estrada and R. S. J. Tol (2016). “Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation.” American Economic Review 106(5): 602-606. doi:10.1257/aer.p20161102

 

Alfieri, L., L. Feyen, P. Salamon, J. Thielen, A. Bianchi, F. Dottori and P. Burek (2016). “Modelling the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe.” Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 16(6): 1401-1411. doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1401-2016

 

Betts, R.A., C.D. Jones, J.R. Knight, R.F. Keeling and J.J. Kennedy (2016) “El Niño and a record CO2 rise.” Nature Climate Change 6, 806–810 (2016) doi:10.1038/nclimate3063

 

Carrao, H., G. Naumann and P. Barbosa (2016). “Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability.” Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 39: 108-124. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.012

 

Chang, J. F., P. Ciais, M. Herrero, P. Havlik, M. Campioli, X. Z. Zhang, Y. F. Bai, N. Viovy, J. Joiner, X. H. Wang, S. S. Peng, C. Yue, S. L. Piao, T. Wang, D. A. Hauglustaine, J. F. Soussana, A. Peregon, N. Kosykh and N. Mironycheva-Tokareva (2016). “Combining livestock production information in a process-based vegetation model to reconstruct the history of grassland management.” Biogeosciences 13(12): 3757-3776. doi:10.5194/bg-13-3757-2016

 

Chang, J. F., P. Ciais, N. Viovy, N. Vuichard, M. Herrero, P. Havlik, X. H. Wang, B. Sultan and J. F. Soussana (2016). “Effect of climate change, CO2 trends, nitrogen addition, and land-cover and management intensity changes on the carbon balance of European grasslands.” Global Change Biology 22(1): 338-350. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13050

 

Dottori, F., P. Salamon, A. Bianchi, L. Alfieri, F. A. Hirpa and L. Feyen (2016). “Development and evaluation of a framework for global flood hazard mapping.” Advances in Water Resources 94: 87-102. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2016.05.002

 

Lind, P., D. Lindstedt, E. Kjellstrom and C. Jones (2016). “Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Summer Precipitation over Central Europe in a Suite of High-Resolution Climate Models.” Journal of Climate 29(10): 3501-3518. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0463.1

 

Vousdoukas, M.I., Voukouvalas, E., Annunziato, A. Giardino L. Feyen  (2016) “Projections of extreme storm surge levels along Europe” Clim Dyn 47: 3171. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3019-5

 

Mengel, M., A. Levermann, K. Frieler, A. Robinson, B. Marzeion and R. Winkelmann (2016). “Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 113(10): 2597-2602. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1500515113

 

Mentaschi, L., Vousdoukas, M., Voukouvalas, E., Sartini, L., Feyen, L., Besio, G., and Alfieri, L. (2016) “The transformed-stationary approach: a generic and simplified methodology for non-stationary extreme value analysis” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3527-3547, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3527-2016

 

Osborn, T. J., C. J. Wallace, I. C. Harris and T. M. Melvin (2016). “Pattern scaling using ClimGen: monthly-resolution future climate scenarios including changes in the variability of precipitation.” Climatic Change 134(3): 353-369. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1509-9

 

Papadimitriou, L. V., A. G. Koutroulis, M. G. Grillakis and I. K. Tsanis (2016). “High-end climate change impact on European runoff and low flows – exploring the effects of forcing biases.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20(5): 1785-1808. doi:10.5194/hess-20-1785-2016

 

Schleussner, C. F., T. K. Lissner, E. M. Fischer, J. Wohland, M. Perrette, A. Golly, J. Rogelj, K. Childers, J. Schewe, K. Frieler, M. Mengel, W. Hare and M. Schaeffer (2016). “Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C.” Earth System Dynamics 7(2): 327-351. doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016

 

Velegrakis, A.F., Trygonis, V., Chatzipavlis, A.E. et al. “Shoreline variability of an urban beach fronted by a beachrock reef from video imagery” Nat Hazards (2016) 83(Suppl 1): 201. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2415-9

 

Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Tabea Lissner, Rachel Licker, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti, Anders Levermann , Katja Frieler, William Hare (2016) “Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal” Nature Climate Change, Vol. 6/Issue 9 doi:10.1038/nclimate3096

 

Vousdoukas, M. I., Voukouvalas, E., Mentaschi, L., Dottori, F., Giardino, A., Bouziotas, D., Bianchi, A., Salamon, P., and Feyen, L. (2016.) “Developments in large-scale coastal flood hazard mapping” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1841-1853, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1841-2016

 

Williamson, M. S., S. Bathiany and T. M. Lenton (2016) “Early warning signals of tipping points in periodically forced systems.” Earth System Dynamics 7(2): 313-326. doi:10.5194/esd-7-313-2016

 

Tobias Geiger, Katja Frieler and Anders Levermann (2016) “High-income does not protect against hurricane losses” doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084012

2015

Alfieri, L., P. Burek, L. Feyen and G. Forzieri (2015). “Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19(5): 2247-2260. doi:10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015

 

Alfieri, L., L. Feyen, F. Dottori and A. Bianchi (2015). “Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios.” Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 35: 199-212. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.004

 

Boulton, C. A. and T. M. Lenton (2015). “Slowing down of North Pacific climate variability and its implications for abrupt ecosystem change.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112(37): 11496-11501. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1501781112

 

Chang, J. F., P. Ciais, N. Viovy, N. Vuichard, B. Sultan and J. F. Soussana (2015). “The greenhouse gas balance of European grasslands.” Global Change Biology 21(10): 3748-3761. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12998

 

Feldmann, J. and A. Levermann (2015). “Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet after local destabilization of the Amundsen Basin.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112(46): 14191-14196. doi:10.1073/pnas.1512482112

 

Feldmann, J. and A. Levermann (2015). “Interaction of marine ice-sheet instabilities in two drainage basins: simple scaling of geometry and transition time.” Cryosphere 9(2): 631-645. doi:10.5194/tc-9-631-2015

 

Friedlingstein, P. (2015). “Carbon cycle feedbacks and future climate change.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society a-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences 373(2054). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0421

 

Frieler, K., A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M. F. P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Doll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A. D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S. N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A. C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen and H. J. Schellnhuber (2015). “A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties.” Earth System Dynamics 6(2): 447-460. doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015

 

Garcia-Carreras, L., A. J. Challinor, B. J. Parkes, C. E. Birch, K. J. Nicklin and D. J. Parker (2015). “The Impact of Parameterized Convection on the Simulation of Crop Processes.” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 54(6): 1283-1296. doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0226.1

 

Mathison, C., A. J. Wiltshire, P. Falloon and A. J. Challinor (2015). “South Asia river-flow projections and their implications for water resources.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19(12): 4783-4810. doi:10.5194/hess-19-4783-2015

 

Koutroulis, A. G. , M.G. Grillakis, I.K. Tsanis, L. Papadimitriou (2015). ‘Evaluation of precipitation and temperature simulation performance of the CMIP3 and CMIP5 historical experiments.’ Climate Dynamics 47(5): 1881–1898. doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2938-x

 

Parkes, B., A. Challinor and K. Nicklin (2015). “Crop failure rates in a geoengineered climate: impact of climate change and marine cloud brightening.” Environmental Research Letters 10(8). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084003

 

Peters, G. P., R. M. Andrew, S. Solomon and P. Friedlingstein (2015). “Measuring a fair and ambitious climate agreement using cumulative emissions.” Environmental Research Letters 10(10). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/105004

 

Sillmann, J., T. M. Lenton, A. Levermann, K. Ott, M. Hulme, F. Benduhn and J. B. Horton (2015). “COMMENTARY: No emergency argument for climate engineering.” Nature Climate Change 5(4): 290-292. doi:10.1038/nclimate2539

 

Strauss, B. H., S. Kulp and A. Levermann (2015). “Carbon choices determine US cities committed to futures below sea level.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112(44): 13508-13513. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1511186112

 

Wenz, L., S. N. Willner, A. Radebach, R. Bierkandt, J. C. Steckel and A. Levermann (2015). “REGIONAL AND SECTORAL DISAGGREGATION OF MULTI-REGIONAL INPUT-OUTPUT TABLES – A FLEXIBLE ALGORITHM.” Economic Systems Research 27(2): 194-212. doi: 10.1080/09535314.2014.987731

 

Williamson, M. S. and T. M. Lenton (2015). “Detection of bifurcations in noisy coupled systems from multiple time series.” Chaos 25(3). doi: 10.1063/1.4908603.

 

Winkelmann, R., A. Levermann, A. Ridgwell, K. Caldeira (2015). ‘Combustion of available fossil-fuel resources sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet’. Science Advance 1(8). doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500589

Yongyang Caia, Kenneth L. Judd, Timothy M. Lenton, Thomas S. Lontzek and Daiju Naritae (2015) “Environmental tipping points significantly affect the cost-benefit assessment of climate policies” PNAS 4606–4611, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1503890112                 

 

Egbert H. van Nes1, Marten Scheer, Victor Brovkin, Timothy M. Lenton, Hao Ye, Ethan Deyle and George Sugihara (2015) “Causal feedbacks in climate change” Nature Climate Change 5(5) doi:10.1038/nclimate2568

 

Thomas S. Lontzek, Yongyang Cai, Kenneth L. Judd, Timothy M. Lenton (2015) “Stochastic integrated assessment of climate tipping points indicates the need for strict climate policy” Nature Climate Change 5, 441–444 doi:10.1038/nclimate2570

Jana Sillmann, Timothy M. Lenton, Anders Levermann, Konrad Ott, Mike Hulme, François Benduhn and Joshua B. Horton (2015) “COMMENTARY: Climate emergencies do not justify engineering the climate” Nature Climate Change 5, 290–292 doi:10.1038/nclimate2539

2014

Boulton, C. A., L. C. Allison and T. M. Lenton (2014). “Early warning signals of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse in a fully coupled climate model.” Nature Communications 5. doi:10.1038/ncomms6752

 

Ehlert, D. and A. Levermann (2014). “Mechanism for potential strengthening of Atlantic overturning prior to collapse.” Earth System Dynamics 5(2): 383-397. doi:10.5194/esd-5-383-2014

 

Friedlingstein, P., R. M. Andrew, J. Rogelj, G. P. Peters, J. G. Canadell, R. Knutti, G. Luderer, M. R. Raupach, M. Schaeffer, D. P. van Vuuren and C. Le Quere (2014). “Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets.” Nature Geoscience 7(10): 709-715. doi:10.1038/ngeo2248

 

Latham, J., A. Gadian, J. Fournier, B. Parkes, P. Wadhams and J. Chen (2014). “Marine cloud brightening: regional applications.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society a-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences 372(2031). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0053

 

Raupach, M. R., S. J. Davis, G. P. Peters, R. M. Andrew, J. G. Canadell, P. Ciais, P. Friedlingstein, F. Jotzo, D. P. van Vuuren and C. Le Quere (2014). “Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions.” Nature Climate Change 4(10): 873-879. doi:10.1038/nclimate2384

 

Schleussner, C. F., A. Levermann and M. Meinshausen (2014). “Probabilistic projections of the Atlantic overturning.” Climatic Change 127(3-4): 579-586. doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1265-2

 

Wenz, L., Willner, S.N., Bierkandt, R. et al. Environ Syst Decis (2014) “Acclimate—a model for economic damage propagation. Part II: a dynamic formulation of the backward effects of disaster-induced production failures in the global supply network” 34: 525. doi.org/10.1007/s10669-014-9521-6